Welcome to our Property Market blog, where we provide you with comprehensive insights into the current trends shaping the UK housing market. In this edition, we'll dive into key headlines of the current Rental Market - including supply and demand dynamics, challenges faced by investors, rental growth versus earnings, and regional snapshots. Let's explore the latest findings!

- Annual rental inflation for new lets in the UK remains high at an average of 11%, slightly down from 12.3% in mid-2022.

- Rental growth continues to outpace earnings growth, raising concerns about affordability for renters.

- The demand for rental properties remains significantly higher than the five-year average, while the supply of privately rented homes in Great Britain has seen a minimal 1% increase over five years.

Supply and Demand Imbalance:

- The stock of homes available for rent is 33% below the five-year average, highlighting the significant supply and demand imbalance.

- According to the recent ARLA Propertymark Report, the demand for rental properties recorded by member agents in April 2023 was 24% higher than the previous year, further exacerbating the supply shortage.

- Factors such as rapid growth in overseas students and high net immigration contribute to sustained demand for rental properties. This follows the Government shake-up of Visa rules in 2021 to help attract more skilled workers to the UK.

Challenges for Investors:

- The number of privately rented homes has only increased by 1% since 2016, as new investment is offset by properties leaving the rental sector.

- Tax changes, growing regulations, higher borrowing costs, and tighter lending criteria have prompted landlords to reassess their portfolios and investment strategies.

- Mortgage rates have increased, impacting the equity or deposit levels required for new buy-to-let purchases, along with stricter lending criteria and stress tests.

Rental Growth and Existing Tenancies:

- Existing tenancies have seen rental increases at an average of 4.4%, significantly lower than the market average for new tenancies.

- Landlords are encouraged to review their rents periodically, especially considering challenges such as tax changes and higher mortgage rates, as rent increases can positively impact investments.

Breakdown of the Private Rental Market:

- The core private rented sector, comprising long-term lets, accounts for 66% of the market, offering lower hassle and workload.

- Sub-sectors such as holiday and short lets or HMOs may provide higher yields but come with additional costs, workload, and regulations.

Regional Snapshot:

- In the West Midlands region, average rents have seen a year-on-year increase of just under 10%, with Birmingham ranking among the top five cities for rental growth.

- Manchester, Edinburgh, Glasgow, and Nottingham also demonstrate strong growth in rental prices.

Conclusion:

The UK rental market continues to experience robust demand, outpacing earnings growth and raising concerns about affordability. The supply shortage persists, presenting challenges for both tenants and landlords. Investors face changing dynamics, including higher mortgage rates and stricter lending criteria. Regular rent reviews are encouraged to ensure investments remain financially viable.

Thank you for reading our Rental Market Update blog. If you are a landlord or property investor and would like some advice or to share your views, please contact me anytime...

Ali Durrant MARLA

Director of Concentric Sales & Lettings 

ali@concentricproperty.co.uk