UK Sales Market Update

Welcome to our Property Market blog, where we provide you with insightful information on the latest trends in the housing market. In this edition, we'll focus on the sales market, highlighting key statistics and offering valuable insights for both buyers and sellers.

 

1. Transaction Stats:

In January 2023, there was a 10% reduction in property sales recorded year on year, while new home purchases saw a 9% rise in completions. Mortgage approvals experienced a significant 46% reduction, with gross lending down approximately 7%. The decrease in mortgage approvals from the second half of the previous year largely explains the significant difference in lending statistics.

 

2. Buyer Demand:

According to the latest ARLA Housing Insight Report, there was a 30% fall in the number of prospective buyers registered across member branches in April 2023 compared to April 2022. Additionally, member branches reported a 70% increase in properties available for sale year-on-year. These figures indicate a drop in buyer demand, likely influenced by higher mortgage rates and economic challenges affecting affordability.

 

3. Market Activity and Pricing:

Rightmove reported that agreed sales numbers are currently just 3% behind the pre-pandemic market of 2019. The average price of properties coming to the market experienced a 1.8% month-on-month increase in May, reflecting robust activity levels and confidence. Sales agreed in May showed positive growth, and the level of negotiation from the asking price to the sale agreed price remained steady at around 3%.

 

4. Mortgage Rates and Affordability:

Despite an increase in the Bank of England base rate, mortgage rates have remained steady. The average 5-year fixed rate with a 15% deposit is now 4.56%, significantly lower than the 5.89% recorded last October. This decrease in mortgage rates contributes to maintaining home mover confidence in the market outlook.

 

5. House Price Growth and Market Activity:

The Zoopla house price index reveals a year-on-year price growth of 1.9%, the lowest in recent times compared to the 9.6% recorded a year ago. Prices have fallen by an average of 1.3% in the last 6 months due to higher mortgage rates and rising living costs. However, buyer confidence has improved, resulting in an increase in sales agreed, primarily driven by falling mortgage rates during the Spring.

 

Regional Property Price Movements:

The West Midlands region has seen year-on-year price growth of 3.5%, surpassing the national average of 1.9%. Birmingham ranks second among major cities, with a growth rate of 3.8%, just behind Nottingham at 3.9%. These figures indicate a significant difference compared to last April when the year-on-year price increase approached 10%.

 

The Outlook for the Sales Market:

Market activity in the UK sales market remains comparable to pre-pandemic levels. However, predictions suggest that mortgage rates may increase in the second half of the year, impacting affordability and pricing. It is anticipated that the year-end may see approximately 20% fewer transactions than the previous year. Sensible and realistic pricing is crucial for sellers, while buyers should not be discouraged as long as the numbers align. As the year progresses, increased stock levels may provide negotiation opportunities.

 

Conclusion:

The UK sales market demonstrates resilience, with activity levels approaching pre-pandemic norms. Understanding market dynamics, considering pricing strategies, and staying updated on mortgage rate changes are vital for both buyers and sellers. Seek professional advice and remain adaptable to navigate the ever-evolving property market successfully.

Thank you for reading

Landlords Heading To Liverpool As The City Property Market Booms

new report has revealed Liverpool is the place to buy for landlords – but anyone looking to add to their portfolio should act quickly, as property prices are on the up faster there than in other locations.

The report (commissioned by London’s Beauchamp Estates and Liverpool’s Logic Estates, with analysis by Dataloft) describes the city as a ‘regional powerhouse’, stating residential property prices have risen more quickly than anywhere else in the last five years – including the capital.

But this surge shouldn’t deter potential investors, because prices there are still affordable compared to other key locations. The report looks at the Liverpool Waterfront, where an average-priced apartment would cost just under £240 per square foot. This compares to around £353 (per square foot) for a similarly well-positioned property down the road in Manchester and £678 (per square foot) in London.

Buy-to-let landlords are also collecting higher rental yields – with an average of 6.4% across all apartments in Liverpool, compared to 5.5% in Manchester and 4.5% in London (of the cities included in the survey, only Leeds saw a higher rental yield for all apartments, sitting at 6.7%).

And there are also seemingly more renters to attract – 55% of the city’s population live in private rented accommodation, compared to 27% in the capital and 17% across England as a whole.

However, while this report extols the virtues of buying in Liverpool, it’s worth noting that there are multiple favourable locations which have emerged as key investment hotspots in recent reports.

The Buy To Let City Tracker research undertaken by Aldermore Bank saw Bristol top the list of best places to purchase an investment property, based on indicators including average total rent, short and long-term returns, percentage of vacant housing stock, and number of renters.

Second place was Oxford, with Cambridge coming third, followed by Manchester and Luton to complete the top five.

And in a third piece of research – this time conducted by Compare the Market – Birmingham topped a list of the 20 best places to be a landlord in the UK, with Bradford, Coventry, Bolton and Burnley also making it into the top five.

Spring Newsletter – Property Market Update

Sales Focus

I think it is safe to say that 2020 was a year like no other for obvious reasons! And from a property market point of view certainly a year which has defied expectations – with the UK experiencing its strongest annual price growth recording since the summer of 2016. To close out 2020, December alone saw over 129,000 homes change hands which is 32% higher than December of 2019 – this only added to what is always a mad rush in the middle of the month to hit clients exchange deadlines so they could enjoy Christmas with peace of mind.

The Mortgage Market has recovered with the bank of England reporting approvals to be up 3.7% on the previous year. Already this year we have seen more mortgage products released again, particularly on 90% loan to value mortgages which of course will be a big help to first-time buyers. And with an estimated 10% more sales agreed in 2020 than in 2019, the start of 2021 has been incredibly positive. The New Year itself was reported as being the busiest ever start to a year by our friends at Rightmove with visits to the website up by 30% and sales property enquiries up by 11% compared to the same period a year ago.

They have also reported that sales agreed in January are up 9% year on year. However – we have seen a new supply of properties coming to market reduce by 12% and the total number of homes for sale down by 6% as new sellers remain cautious while lockdown restrictions remain. This has caused a supply/demand imbalance and is only likely to maintain upward pressure on prices. But with surveys suggesting a large percentage of would-be sellers are holding off due to the pandemic, perhaps we can expect a surge of new supply towards the summer as lockdown measures are eased. Many sales are currently in the conveyancing process, in fact, there are approximately 650,000 transactions currently going through and the process has been a lot slower meaning a heightened level of stress for a lot of home movers – especially those who were pushing for the stamp duty deadline that was previously set for the end of this month. 

But that stress has been lifted for so many with the latest budget announcement as the stamp duty holiday has been extended to the 30th June – so there is some breathing space and opportunity. The chancellors budget announcement was on the 3rd March and represents a number of changes and factors for the housing market. Here are my 4 key takeaways: Starting with Stamp duty – so it is a 3-month extension from the end of March to the end of June meaning that stamp duty is only payable above the threshold of £500,000 which represents savings of up to £15,000 on purchases. This excludes the 3% second property surcharge for anybody who is unsure. – furthermore, to avoid a ‘cliff edge’ when this period ends, the tax-free threshold will then drop from £500,000 to £250,000 for a further three months before finally returning to the normal level of £125,000 from October 1st. This is huge news as savings of up to £5,000 can still be had for completions across the summer months.

Secondly, 95% mortgage guarantee scheme. – I said earlier that the return of 90% LTV mortgages has helped more first time buyers get back into the market with a 5% rise in demand from said buyers in the first 6 weeks of the year. And sales of between £100,000 and £250,000 have seen an increase of around 18% in the first couple of months of this year which is in keeping as buyers of lower value properties tend to be more reliant on the availability of finance – especially at higher loan to values.

So this mortgage guarantee scheme is part of a government initiative to turn generation rent into generation buy and means that the lenders who sign up for it (so far the likes of Lloyds, Santander, Barclays and HSBC are all involved) can purchase insurance from the government to cover some of their losses if the property is repossessed. A bit like an indemnity policy. So a safety net for the lenders to be comfortable offering high loan to value products to buyers again. And this is not just for the first-time buyer but also existing homeowners and those trying to re-mortgage with low equity. (this of course excludes buy to let mortgages which remain at a minimum 25% deposit required)

The third takeaway is Tax thresholds being frozen – a number of tax thresholds including those for capital gains tax and inheritance tax, will be frozen until April 2026. – Capital gains threshold will be held at £12,300 for the 21/22 tax year whilst inheritance tax remains at £325,000 (meaning tax payable only kicks in above those amounts.

So who does this affect?

The move to freeze CGT means anyone selling an investment property or a second home will have to pay capital gains tax of 28% on any increase in the property’s value since they first bought it above £12,300.

Couples who jointly own a property can combine their CGT allowance to £24,600. Inheritance tax is paid at 40% on all assets worth more than £325,000 that are not left to a spouse or civil partner, although this threshold increases to £500,000 if you leave your home to your children or grandchildren. Of course, the speculation over a hike in capital gains tax has already seen some landlords act and we have seen a spike in the sale of previously rented homes. With the 5 year freeze this may well reduce the number of landlords thinking of selling again.

And finally, the extension to the furlough scheme will be extended until the end of September. I have put this in here for 2 reasons: firstly if the government is continuing to support people’s incomes who can’t currently, work then they are less likely to struggle to keep up mortgage payments meaning we are less likely to see a spike in forced sales or repossessions that some have been speculating. And secondly, for all of you landlords with tenants who are being supported by the furlough scheme it means they are less likely to struggle to upkeep your rent payments! That’s a definite positive for all of us! It really is no surprise that reports are stating that we are experiencing one of the busiest ever Spring markets!

 

Lettings Focus

To start with we are still seeing average rents across the UK rising with a 1.4% increase across the last year. Interestingly though Zoopla reports some major cities to have decreased with London most notably dropping by around 8% and more locally Birmingham is apparently down by almost 1% year on year. So taking London out of the equation and the UK increase would in fact be more like 2.5% year on year. And this is expected to continue for the foreseeable future. 

So, guys, I would always encourage regular tenancy compliance checks and a rent review is something I personally tie in with those checks as its always good to know where you stand versus current market rates. A few other interesting points to note starting with a look at where the demand is at its strongest and it appears that commuter belts are stronger than main cities themselves right now. So take our area for example...

Rents in central Birmingham fell by -3.4% in the year to December 2020, but average rents across neighboring boroughs, including Bromsgrove, Sandwell, and Wolverhampton rose by an average of 5.3%. And as my area is Wolverhampton, I just want to advocate why our area is great to invest in for anybody who is actively looking...

1)We are seen as the best value commuter area outside of Birmingham – this takes into account the average cost of rent or mortgage payment plus annual train ticket. Second to us is Cannock! 

2)The average Gross rental yields are now above 6%

3)Tenant demand is unbelievably high right now and there is a real supply issue in the local rental market. – We have personally seen a further 50% increase in the number of tenants registered as looking for a property so far this year and Rightmove reported an increase or 22% in enquiries on properties for let in the New Year. All perfect ingredients for a buy-to-let and I will leave that there but if anybody wants to discuss further I do have a Buy-to-let advisory service which you can contact me if you want some help or are interested!

So that concludes the Spring property report and I do hope you found it useful or at least interesting! If anybody wants to share their views or opinions with me or perhaps would like some advice, please do contact me – I would love to hear from you!

 

Ali Durrant

Branch Manager of Concentric Sales & Lettings

ali@concentricproperty.co.uk

Section 11 Repairing Obligations – what you need to know

Statutory Implied Terms

Firstly, what are the obligations of the landlord under the Landlord and Tenant Act? The official line states that:

“The landlord [is] to maintain the structure and exterior of the property, including installations for the supply of water, gas and, electricity, heating systems, drainage, and sanitary appliances.”

In simple terms, this means that if anything you as the landlord have provided as part of the tenancy, it is your obligation to keep it in good working order throughout the duration of the tenancy.

If we look a little deeper, the statement implies that the installations are ‘maintained’, which tells us that they must indeed be in proper working order before the start of the tenancy. It’s important that anything that isn’t in good repair is dealt with before the tenant moves in, otherwise, the landlord can be deemed in breach of Section 11, and therefore can be prosecuted.

So, what is included, and what do we mean by installations?

Maintenance of the structure and exterior is quite self-explanatory; by this, we would include the brickwork and external structure, roof, drains and gutters, and windows and doors, etc. It is expected that the property is structurally sound, will not be subject to leaks or damp caused by damage to brickwork or roof damage, and is secure, with adequately fitted doors and windows etc.

With regards to installations, you should include in this anything that is included in the property as part of the agreement. That includes any appliances which are already in the property when the tenant moves in. It also includes all and any water or gas pipes, electrical wiring, water tanks, boilers, radiators, and other space heating installations such as vents for under-floor heating, baths and sinks, and sanitary ware.

 

Supplied appliances

If you have provided appliances to the tenant as part of the tenancy, i.e. they are not gifted or provided as a goodwill gesture, then these must also be kept in good repair as part of the agreement. These might include:

As a landlord, it is not under your responsibility to repair items that belong to and were brought into the property by the tenant. Make sure that any items you have provided are included in your tenancy agreement, and are listed on your inventory. It is also important that you can prove the condition of provided appliances in your inventory, so that your tenants cannot claim for damages for which they are responsible.

 

Advertising the property and the Consumer Protection Act

Something you’ll want to consider when you’re advertising the property is what you’re including in the tenancy. If, in your photographs, you have shown the property with white good, and you are not intending to include them, you must state that in your advert, and make it clear whether you are willing to gift those items, or whether they will be removed before the tenant moves in.

 

Tenancy Issues

Something we’ve seen come up and have frequently been asked about is whether the landlord’s responsibility under Section 11 changes if the tenant is behind on their rent, or is under dispute for some other reason.

The answer is absolutely not. Regardless of any issues with the tenant, you as the landlord are still under obligation to make good any repairs to the structure and installations included within your property.

You must also get the permission of the tenant to gain entry to the property to make any necessary repairs. While we know that when a tenancy is under dispute, this can sometimes be difficult, but remember that if you don’t have permission to enter from the tenant, then you can be liable for trespass.

In all circumstances, the tenants right to privacy in their home should be respected.

If the health of your property is a concern, you can download our FREE compliance check download here.