UK Rental Market Update: Insights into the Current Landscape

Welcome to our Property Market blog, where we provide you with comprehensive insights into the current trends shaping the UK housing market. In this edition, we'll dive into key headlines of the current Rental Market - including supply and demand dynamics, challenges faced by investors, rental growth versus earnings, and regional snapshots. Let's explore the latest findings!

 

- Annual rental inflation for new lets in the UK remains high at an average of 11%, slightly down from 12.3% in mid-2022.

- Rental growth continues to outpace earnings growth, raising concerns about affordability for renters.

- The demand for rental properties remains significantly higher than the five-year average, while the supply of privately rented homes in Great Britain has seen a minimal 1% increase over five years.

 

Supply and Demand Imbalance:

- The stock of homes available for rent is 33% below the five-year average, highlighting the significant supply and demand imbalance.

- According to the recent ARLA Propertymark Report, the demand for rental properties recorded by member agents in April 2023 was 24% higher than the previous year, further exacerbating the supply shortage.

- Factors such as rapid growth in overseas students and high net immigration contribute to sustained demand for rental properties. This follows the Government shake-up of Visa rules in 2021 to help attract more skilled workers to the UK.

 

Challenges for Investors:

- The number of privately rented homes has only increased by 1% since 2016, as new investment is offset by properties leaving the rental sector.

- Tax changes, growing regulations, higher borrowing costs, and tighter lending criteria have prompted landlords to reassess their portfolios and investment strategies.

- Mortgage rates have increased, impacting the equity or deposit levels required for new buy-to-let purchases, along with stricter lending criteria and stress tests.

 

Rental Growth and Existing Tenancies:

- Existing tenancies have seen rental increases at an average of 4.4%, significantly lower than the market average for new tenancies.

- Landlords are encouraged to review their rents periodically, especially considering challenges such as tax changes and higher mortgage rates, as rent increases can positively impact investments.

 

Breakdown of the Private Rental Market:

- The core private rented sector, comprising long-term lets, accounts for 66% of the market, offering lower hassle and workload.

- Sub-sectors such as holiday and short lets or HMOs may provide higher yields but come with additional costs, workload, and regulations.

 

Regional Snapshot:

- In the West Midlands region, average rents have seen a year-on-year increase of just under 10%, with Birmingham ranking among the top five cities for rental growth.

- Manchester, Edinburgh, Glasgow, and Nottingham also demonstrate strong growth in rental prices.

 

Conclusion:

The UK rental market continues to experience robust demand, outpacing earnings growth and raising concerns about affordability. The supply shortage persists, presenting challenges for both tenants and landlords. Investors face changing dynamics, including higher mortgage rates and stricter lending criteria. Regular rent reviews are encouraged to ensure investments remain financially viable.

Thank you for reading our Rental Market Update blog. If you are a landlord or property investor and would like some advice or to share your views, please contact me anytime...

 

Ali Durrant MARLA

Director of Concentric Sales & Lettings 

ali@concentricproperty.co.uk

UK Sales Market Update

Welcome to our Property Market blog, where we provide you with insightful information on the latest trends in the housing market. In this edition, we'll focus on the sales market, highlighting key statistics and offering valuable insights for both buyers and sellers.

 

1. Transaction Stats:

In January 2023, there was a 10% reduction in property sales recorded year on year, while new home purchases saw a 9% rise in completions. Mortgage approvals experienced a significant 46% reduction, with gross lending down approximately 7%. The decrease in mortgage approvals from the second half of the previous year largely explains the significant difference in lending statistics.

 

2. Buyer Demand:

According to the latest ARLA Housing Insight Report, there was a 30% fall in the number of prospective buyers registered across member branches in April 2023 compared to April 2022. Additionally, member branches reported a 70% increase in properties available for sale year-on-year. These figures indicate a drop in buyer demand, likely influenced by higher mortgage rates and economic challenges affecting affordability.

 

3. Market Activity and Pricing:

Rightmove reported that agreed sales numbers are currently just 3% behind the pre-pandemic market of 2019. The average price of properties coming to the market experienced a 1.8% month-on-month increase in May, reflecting robust activity levels and confidence. Sales agreed in May showed positive growth, and the level of negotiation from the asking price to the sale agreed price remained steady at around 3%.

 

4. Mortgage Rates and Affordability:

Despite an increase in the Bank of England base rate, mortgage rates have remained steady. The average 5-year fixed rate with a 15% deposit is now 4.56%, significantly lower than the 5.89% recorded last October. This decrease in mortgage rates contributes to maintaining home mover confidence in the market outlook.

 

5. House Price Growth and Market Activity:

The Zoopla house price index reveals a year-on-year price growth of 1.9%, the lowest in recent times compared to the 9.6% recorded a year ago. Prices have fallen by an average of 1.3% in the last 6 months due to higher mortgage rates and rising living costs. However, buyer confidence has improved, resulting in an increase in sales agreed, primarily driven by falling mortgage rates during the Spring.

 

Regional Property Price Movements:

The West Midlands region has seen year-on-year price growth of 3.5%, surpassing the national average of 1.9%. Birmingham ranks second among major cities, with a growth rate of 3.8%, just behind Nottingham at 3.9%. These figures indicate a significant difference compared to last April when the year-on-year price increase approached 10%.

 

The Outlook for the Sales Market:

Market activity in the UK sales market remains comparable to pre-pandemic levels. However, predictions suggest that mortgage rates may increase in the second half of the year, impacting affordability and pricing. It is anticipated that the year-end may see approximately 20% fewer transactions than the previous year. Sensible and realistic pricing is crucial for sellers, while buyers should not be discouraged as long as the numbers align. As the year progresses, increased stock levels may provide negotiation opportunities.

 

Conclusion:

The UK sales market demonstrates resilience, with activity levels approaching pre-pandemic norms. Understanding market dynamics, considering pricing strategies, and staying updated on mortgage rate changes are vital for both buyers and sellers. Seek professional advice and remain adaptable to navigate the ever-evolving property market successfully.

Thank you for reading

What Is The Rental And Property Investing Market Like In Liverpool Right Now?

We have let thousands of tenancies, worked with hundreds of investors, and managed hundreds of properties, helping landlords navigate the local Selective Licensing schemes since their inception in 2015.

Like tenants, landlords and investors come in all shapes and sizes, have different levels of experience, and have different wants and needs, but there are a few questions that we get asked all of the time, and right now, it seems like everyone wants to buy property in Liverpool and the surrounding areas... and I can see why.

We have been instrumental in letting property in and around the west of Liverpool for over 10 years now, our focus; to work with the landlord investors in the area.

We have let thousands of tenancies, worked with hundreds of investors, and managed hundreds of properties, helping landlords navigate the local Selective Licensing schemes since their inception in 2015.

Like tenants, landlords and investors come in all shapes and sizes, have different levels of experience, and have different wants and needs, but there are a few questions that we get asked all of the time, and right now, it seems like everyone wants to buy property in Liverpool and the surrounding areas... and I can see why.

There's a lot of investment opportunity in the area with great property prices compared to many other city locations, and will generate fantastic income (and now capital) returns.

So, if you are thinking of buying a property in the area, here are a few questions you should be asking yourself.

 

What are the most in-demand areas from tenants at the moment?

The top areas that are most in-demand from tenants right now are Bootle, Walton & Fazakerly.

 

What sort of property cannot you get enough of? 

There appears to be a real shortage of 2/3 bedroom houses, maybe because people want more space or a place to work from home, we have all experienced being locked in, and a 1 bed flat can become less desirable. 

 

Where are most investors looking to buy at the moment? 

Most Investors are looking to buy property in Bootle & Walton, which ties in nicely with the increased tenant demands we are seeing. 

 

What rent increase levels have YOU seen in the branch? 

With rents across the UK increasing on average by 8.5% (according to Homelet), we have seen rents across the board here increase by at least 10% over the last year and in some cases a lot more! 

 

What property price increases have you seen in your area?

According to the Liverpool Echo, Liverpool has the fastest rising house prices of any UK city. This year is set to be the busiest for the UK housing market since 2007, with Liverpool topping the house price charts at 10.6% and some areas such as Toxteth maxing out at over 20% in just 12 months.

 

Are unfurnished properties renting better than furnished? 

We find that most properties rent better if they are unfurnished, that is unless they are a house share or student accommodation, then of course furnished is best.

 

What are the key features tenants are asking for right now?

Of course they still want the usual, a good location that feels safe, a nicely presented property that’s clean and has good access to facilities and transport, but this year we have seen a rise in tenants asking for gardens, and to be allowed pets (probably due to the experience of lockdown), and with HMO’s they really do all want en-suite facilities (due to becoming more germ aware). 

 

How many applications from tenants are you getting per property?

During most of 2021, we were seeing around 10 applications from tenants per property, however, this year it has more than doubled, we seem to currently (January and February) be getting up to 25 pre-applications for each property, it's gone crazy!

 

If you were looking to buy a property right now Elisha, what would you buy?

If I was to buy a property now, I would definitely be looking to secure a 3-bedroom terraced house for around £130k, generating me a monthly rent of around £750pcm which results in a 7% gross yield, because I know I could rent it over and over again with zero problems and get good quality tenants.

 

What sort of landlords are buying at the moment?

It seems all types of landlords are buying at the moment, from 1st-time landlords, those with 1 or 2 properties looking to expand their portfolio and large landlords alike, it feels like everyone is buying right now, it’s a very busy market, driven in the main by the huge increase in demand and the shortage of stock out there.

 

What’s the big challenge for the Liverpool market at the moment?

It has to be the introduction of another Selective Licensing scheme across Liverpool from April 2022. This is going to be an additional cost and more paperwork for those landlords in the areas affected, but we have been through this before with Sefton, so we are ready to support our landlords through it.

If you have any queries regarding any of the subjects covered in this article or want to learn how the introduction of the new Selective Licensing laws could effect you as a landlord in the Liverpool area, we're running and inviting you to a free-to-attend webinar on the 23rd March 2022 at 18:30. On the webinar, we will cover all the nitty-gritty details you should 100% be aware of.

Register for the webinar on the next page.

What will happen to the property market in 2020?

House prices increased by an average 33.7% in the last decade and despite being relatively flat over the last couple of years, due to the uncertainties surrounding Brexit, are set to rise by a further 15.3%, according to latest predictions, in the next 5 years. However, there are likely to be significant regional differences with properties in the North of England expected to see the strongest price growth of 24% between 2020 and 2024. Central London properties are also set for a rebound with predictions of 20% growth and only 5% growth in Greater London.

 

According to Rightmove, the property market will increase by 2% in 2020. But that a lack of supply, with demand remaining high, could push prices higher. Added to which, low interest rates, lenders competing to lend, high unemployment and a continued growth in wages, helps buyer affordability.

 

So, if you are planning on buying  or renting a property in 2020, how will this impact you?

 

  1. House prices are forecast to grow by 2% in 2020, but stocks are expected to remain low. So, if you are thinking of buying, now is the time to get your property on the market, so that you're ready to move when the right property comes along. If you're renting, the number of letting properties are likely to remain low, which could prompt an increase in prices.
  2. First-time buyers. Schemes such as The Lifetime ISA, will help people raise the deposit required to buy a property. Which typically can be up to 20%. The good news is that interest rates are expected to remain low, which will make mortgages more affordable.
  3. Brexit. After the UK leaves the European Union on January the 31st, there will be some uncertainty surrounding the housing market. Currently confidence levels are high, so the 'Boris effect' may help property prices remain buoyant. A weak pound however, could encourage more overseas investors entering the market as this makes UK property relatively inexpensive.

Buying and selling over Christmas

Think you need to avoid selling your property over Christmas? Think again. Potential buyers have more time over Christmas and, according to Rightmove, the Christmas period and particularly Boxing Day, is one of the busiest of the year, with people searching for a new home.

 

So, what do you need to do to maximise a potential sale over Christmas?

 

  1. Make sure your property is visible online and listed with all the major property portals.
  2. Winter viewings. There's something quite special about a property dressed with Christmas decorations. Stepping into a warm house, with the light of a fire and twinkling lights can show off a property at its best. Helping prospective buyers visualise living there.
  3. Serious buyers. People house hunting over Christmas are more likely to want to complete early in the New Year. You'll get a greater proportion of motivated buyers, looking to agree a sale.
  4. Plan ahead. Don't leave putting your property on the market too close to Christmas. Whilst your home will look attractive  with Christmas decorations, you want to ensure the photos of your property are taken before the decorations are put up.
  5. Ready for the New Year. Once Christmas is out of the way, there is a traditional New Year rush, as families make the decision to move over the Christmas period. Getting your property listed before Christmas ensure you are ready to make the best of this busy time of year.

 

If you need advice about selling over Christmas, contact us today.

The house buying fees you'll also need to budget for

If you're thinking about buying a new home, you'll need to budget for more than just the deposit. It's a stressful time, saving! You work hard to put away savings each month and feel like celebrating when you have saved enough for that all important deposit. But don't get carried away too early, as there are other costs that you need to take into account!

 

When you're working out your 'buying a house' budget, you also need to take account of the cost of buying, your mortgage fees and moving costs - on top of your deposit. It all adds up and can easily plunge you into debt if an unexpected bill hasn't been taken into account.

 

Here's what you need to know about and budget for:

 

  1. Mortgage fees. On top of your deposit you need to take account of the charges that your mortgage provider will require as part of the application process. These can vary from a few hundred pounds to several thousand pounds. Shop around to get the best possible deal. Also bear in mind that an electronic transfer fee is often applicable when the mortgage is paid out. This is often in the region of £50.
  2. Surveyors fees. You may view this as a necessary evil in order to comply with your mortgage, but having a professional survey could save you thousands in the longer run. A basic survey could be as little as £250 to £300, but really amounts to little more than a valuation. Paying extra for a homebuyers report, or even a full structural survey, could identify issues that enables you to renegotiate the price or save you money and headaches in the longer term.
  3. Legal fees. You will need a solicitor to carry out the legal searches on your property; to identify if a new motorway is likely to be built alongside your new property, for example. Fees for these are typically less than £250. Whilst the paperwork for the purchase of your property could cost £1000 to £1500.
  4. Stamp duty. Depending upon the purchase price of your property you will need to pay stamp duty to the Government. If you are a first time buyer you won't pay stamp duty on the first £300,000. Whilst you are only exempt from paying stamp duty on the first £125,000 if you are not a first time buyer.
     

    Rate

    Charge Band

    0%

    Up to £125,000

    First-time buyers: first £300,000 for property up to £500,000

    2%

    Over £125,000 to £250,000

    5%

    Over £250,000 to £925,000

    10%

    Over £925,000 to £1,500,000

    12%

    Over £1,500,000

  5. Estate Agent fees. You only pay estate agent fees of you are selling a property. So if you are a first time buyer, you shouldn't need to budget for Estate Agent fees. If you are selling, the fees are typically one to three per cent of the final sales price. With VAT usually chargeable on top of that.
  6. Moving costs. Unless you are prepared to rent a van and move yourself, you will need to budget for a professional removal company to move your possessions. Fees are typically £400 to £600.
  7. Decorations and refurbishment costs. It's worth being clear exactly what is included within the sale. If you need to buy carpets, curtains, curtain rails and more, these can quickly eat into your budget. Even a fresh lick of paint can add up. And that's before any more extensive refurbishments that may be required. Where possible get quotes up front, so you know what costs will be applicable after you've purchased the property.
  8. Rates. And finally, make sure you know what rates are payable (to your Local Authority) for the property that you are purchasing. As this can often be another overlooked cost.

Should I concentrate on capital appreciation in buy-to-let?

The growth of the buy-to-let market isn’t slowing down, as the housing shortage in the UK continues. Because of this, you now see a lot of information out there to help landlords get the best rental yields for their properties, but interestingly there is less information on capital appreciation. More associated with buyers and vendors, capital appreciation is also a factor that landlords need to consider when they invest in property, now more than ever.

What is capital appreciation?
In comparison to cash flow, which is money that goes straight into your back pocket, capital appreciation is the profit made on an asset that has not yet been liquidated. Many investors use property for appreciation due to being one of the more reliable assets.

Investing in private rental properties is more often than not a longer-term commitment compared to refurbishment projects and other types of property investment. Therefore, it’s in a landlord’s best interest to look into the capital appreciation potential of a property for when they or their successor eventually sells them. It’s not worth investing in a rental property only to lose capital once you leave the sector.

Why should you think about capital appreciation? 
If you’re looking to boost your personal income – maybe you’d like to add more to the retirement fund or raise more money to help out family -  then it would be wise to consider capital appreciation opportunities.

Once you reach pension age, you could stand to have a good nest egg to fall back on, especially since properties in the UK are increasing on average by 24% in value over 10 years.

Things to consider for capital appreciation

1)    Buy an asset you can actually liquidate. It’s okay investing in properties to create some steady cash flow, but if the property is difficult to sell or in a poor location, then you could end up losing more capital than you earned overall. This is called capital depreciation. Look for properties in up and coming areas or areas going through regeneration. According to statistics, you could stand to gain up to 25% in value on a property over just 5 years if a new supermarket is built in the area.

2)    Budget correctly and be aware of your net income. Only invest in properties you can genuinely afford – this includes décor and furnishing, maintenance and repairs, mortgage fees, taxation and utilities that match its size and build.  The mortgage tax relief cuts introduced by the government last year only heighten the need for you to plan your budget carefully. Pushing yourself to invest in properties that generate a large gross income will end badly if you can’t manage the financial upkeep. You could end up cancelling out any rental yield you make for a number of years, but even worse, you could end up in debt with a need to liquidate quickly. You want capital appreciation to boost your income, not make up for your losses.

3)    Be a good landlord. Don’t allow your property to become run-down and filled with bad tenants; it could influence the reputation its area has and thus decrease its market value. Looking after your tenants and ensuring a well-kempt property is heavily linked to how much the property will be worth over time. 

If you’d like to focus on capital appreciation when making a buy-to-let investment, a consultation with a local property expert is highly recommended. Many of our local Concentric branches offer buy-to-let advisory workshops, where you can get advice and guidance tailored specifically to you. Click HERE to find out more.

Which are the best areas for Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs) in Birmingham?

In my experience there are three main areas in Birmingham which are particularly popular with HMO investors.

The first one is right next to our office in the Edgbaston area. The reason this is such a popular area for HMO is probably down to a couple of things: the first one being the style of properties.   these are predominantly Victorian with least two reception rooms and a usable attic.

The Edgbaston area lends itself nicely to HMO is because of its proximity to Birmingham City Centre. Edgbaston spans a wide area but on its edges backs onto the Hagley Road on one side and the Bristol Road on the other; both of which are main arterial roads into Birmingham City Centre. 

Another area which is very popular for HMOs in Birmingham  is to be found just north of Birmingham city centre. Leave Birmingham heading North and the next main area you find just past Spaghetti Junction in Erdington. In terms of property styles, Erdington is very similar area to Edgbaston. Large Victorian houses, mostly with accommodation across three levels lends itself very easily to converting to HMOs with five or more bedrooms.

Location wise Erdington is also very conveniently situated for Birmingham City Centre. Historically north Birmingham has always been slightly less expensive and South Birmingham and indeed in terms of rents and prices for rooms this is definitely the case.  however in terms of property values I would say the prices are continuing to rise and on a par with Edgbaston.  what this means if you are thinking of buying an HMO  in Erdington is you need to carefully researched the ceiling price for room rates  and make sure that you're not trying to exceed this ceiling price. 

In case you are thinking of investing in property to be turned into an HMO in Bournville, which is the last of the three popular areas I mentioned favoured by investors purchasing properties to be converted into HMOs in Birmingham you need to be aware of just one thing.  Bournville and Selly Oak are affected by something called Article 4.  If you're not sure what this is I suggest you Google it but in a nutshell it is an additional planning control which restricts  existing properties being converted into HMOs.

So whilst Bournville is a great area in terms of attracting professional sharers and is well situated with good rail links into the centre of Birmingham, you need to bear Article 4 in mind.